SEAFAIR: Carnival of summer in Seattle

SeafairIt’s that time of year! The Seafair schedule has just been released. See it here.blue-angles

Is Seattle the next Silicon Valley?

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How Much Does Solar Power Cost?

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Home Ownership & Home Affordability

Real-Estate-PuzzleLast week I had the opportunity to hear one of the premier economists on the West Coast, Matthew Gardner. Each time I listen to him, I come away more educated, and because I provide real estate services in the greater Seattle area, encouraged.

In regards to homeownership in our area, the data below would suggest that we are in good shape in the Puget Sound.

home_ownership_rates

The homeownership rate is reversing toward it’s historic norms. Excluding owners who haven’t made a payment in a year, it is currently at  62%.

underpriced

If we believe that there was a “Normal” market back in the 1990’s, then it is conceivable that prices should be higher.

affordability

Here are Matthew’s conclusions.

• Prices Will Start to Solidify this Year

• Overly Stringent Financing constraining the Market

• 4-County Area Listings are Down 17% but Sales are Up 12%

• Faster Drop Off in Foreclosures in 2012

• Positive Price Growth in 2012 (1.6%).Conclusions

• Local Prices are down by 15.8% but Non-REO prices are down by 9%

• Limited Income Growth will Slow Home Value Appreciation

• Homeowners, as opposed to investors, would rather wait to pay a higher price than admit to their friends that they bought too soon!

• Recovery Will Be Unequal.

Seattle City By The Water

By local creative Edvard Brun

A beautiful view of the life of Seattle and the surrounding area.

Seattle Area Stone Home Fits In Rocky Terrain

This rectilinear home works with its environment not through an organic shape but through a series of beautiful and tactical responses to the natural rock formations and greenery of the San Juan Islands.

Rocks frame the front view toward the water on the first level, creating a semi-enclosed channel preserving privacy as well as strategic lines of sight.

Inside, outcroppings of rock are integrated everywhere from the living-and-dining-room hearth to a beautiful bathroom sink of natural stone that connects directly to the outdoors beyond.

Exterior formations provide everything from a foundation for a patio that opens out toward the water as well as a walkway up to the green roof above.

Brought to you by Olson Kundig Architects, fans of their work will recognize the metal, glass and concrete detailing – combined with an unusual attention to natural Seattle-area surroundings.

Seattle tops best cities for tech jobs!

seattle tech jobs Seattle tops best cities for tech jobs, Austin only ranks #32   are startups dying?

Top best cities for tech jobs named

Recently, Forbes names the top 50 best cities for technology jobs and the list has made waves in the tech community as the magazine took a look not just at the current scene, but how tech jobs have changed in the past decade, putting some tech cities low on the list.

The top 10:

  1. Seattle, WA
  2. Baltimore, MD
  3. Columbus, OH
  4. Raleigh, NC
  5. Salt Lake City, UT
  6. Jacksonville, FL
  7. Washington, D.C.
  8. New Orleans, LA
  9. Riverside-San Bernadino, CA
  10. San Diego, CA

John Cook at GeekWire.com wrote, “One of the biggest story lines of the past couple of years in the Seattle tech community has been the arrival of titans such as Facebook, Salesforce.com, EMC, Zynga and other Silicon Valley stalwarts who’ve chosen the region for new development centers.” He adds that Facebook is doubling its presence in Seattle and Amazon.com hired 8,000 people in the third quarter alone.

Are startups like Gowalla going out of business?

Unfortunately, it is true. Austin’s semiconductor industry has taken a hit in recent years while the startup industry has brought in millions of dollars in funding, but our sources hint that the startup world is quickly and quietly dwindling down.

Although it is a quiet notion and likely just a rumor, we were asked by a very successful entrepreneur in Austin if we knew that Gowalla could be going under and later that same day we were asked by a venture capitalist if Gowalla’s $10.4 million wasn’t keeping them afloat and 2012 wasn’t looking good. We have been told that Austin startup CEOs and employees have been quietly submitting their resumes at more established companies and even Gowalla employees are rumored to be sending out a high volume of applications. It isn’t just Gowalla though, they’ll just be the biggest let down if this is even remotely true (which we’re not convinced of).

We’re hearing that the first quarter of 2012 will be the last for many startups in town, so is Forbes on to something? Is 2012 the year the struggling startups finally run out of money or give up regardless of the millions that have been poured into them as they learn they’re not alone in their struggle? Time will tell but 2012 isn’t looking so good for Austin while it is looking quite promising for Seattle.

N.B.: The Seattle area has other employers as well. Namely, Boeing, Starbucks, Nintendo, Nordstrom, Costco, Paccar, Safeco etc. The Puget Sound is no longer a one trick pony in the job world.

Employment (and population growth) is the main reason that housing is a stable and safe choice in our area.

Do you want to be neighbors with Bill Gates?

medina

Click image for more information.

3227 Evergreen Pt Rd – Medina, WA – Auction this week.

Let me know if I can help. 206-713-3244 or email me.

Not All Feet Are The Same

feet One of the most misunderstood data points in real estate is square footage. To some this seems like a solid, historically accepted statistic that should be left alone. The reality is that not all feet are created equally.

As someone who consults both buyers and sellers on strategies that include pricing, I have had more than one occasion where square footage has been an issue of consternation.

Though I’m not an appraiser, I do understand the principals by which they establish value. In the Puget Sound, our topography dictates a variety of architecture. We have two-story, ramblers, split-entry, multi-level, townhomes and many more variations of those. Some homes have mountain views, while others look out on one of our gorgeous lakes. Still others look into a school yard or directly to a brick wall. Not all feet are created equally.

To suggest that, if all things being equal (number of bedrooms, baths and size), square footage would offer the key to pricing, is in my opinion a precarious position to take.

The truth is that floorplan rules! Useful (useable) design and flow are imperative to the way the home lives. People make due with the spaces they occupy, however, many of us have said something like, “If only that wall was over there”, or “If only we had a larger kitchen”, or “I wish the laundry room was upstairs”. As an aside – another benefit of our current inventory levels is that buyers have the opportunity to select homes that fit their needs at a pace where there is less compromise than in the frenzy market of 2003-2006.  The floorplan MUST be considered when evaluating the profile buyer (most likely buyer for the property), usefulness of the spaces and subsequently, the value of the property.

Multi-level homes, though fun and interesting, may have a smaller pool of buyers (older families, due to the distance between bedrooms and other layout considerations) which in turn can affect its value, depending on when it is sold. View homes may be more valuable to some than others (ask an appraiser how much a view is worth and you may receive a very long bluff – there IS a value, but determining that number is science and gut mixed with a little Pepto Bismol). Craftsmanship has to play a role in the valuation of a home. Different builders use assorted materials and sub-trades. The quality of materials and appliances cannot be ignored when valuing homes.

As a city or neighborhood ages, we see gentrification. In Seattle, Bellevue and Redmond, comparing homes in neighborhoods that are mixed with original and newly built structures is not for the faint of heart.

Many homes in our area have multi-levels due to where they are placed on the lot. Often these homes have an abundance of stairs and hallways, whereas a well designed rambler will yield the highest return on investment.

This is not to say that there aren’t times to use the square footage data. Identical homes in neighborhoods (unless there are some major differences such as location & condition), and more likely condominiums and townhomes, can benefit from the square footage valuation model. Again, one must consider the updates that may or may not have been done. The most important component in those cases is timing. I have observed and have been a part of selling identical properties only 6 months apart at dramatically different prices. Even the micro-market is affected by variations in the economy and lending.

Though none of this is splitting the atom, I have seen many who deal with home sales and marketing gloss over this point, sometimes putting their seller clients in a less than successful position.

If this resonates with you, let me know how I can help 206-713-3244 or email.