Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Who They Are

freddie&FannieFannie Mae and Freddie Mac are publicly traded companies that guarantee the majority of new mortgages in the U.S. They are key players in the government’s foreclosure-prevention initiative.

Fannie Mae, officially the Federal National Mortgage Association, and Freddie Mac, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp., were taken over by the government in 2008 after billions of dollars in losses and years of mismanagement.

Fannie and Freddie operate in the secondary mortgage market. They don’t sell mortgages directly to homeowners; they buy mortgages from banks and other lenders, which can use the money to issue new home mortgages.

To increase access to home loans, Fannie was created as a federal agency in 1938 and chartered by Congress in 1968, followed by Freddie in 1970. But they also are publicly traded corporations and — before their taxpayer bailout — had a duty to maximize shareholder return.

Those divergent missions were criticized as a "fundamentally flawed" business model by the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, which Congress created to examine the causes of the economic crisis that began in 2007.

Fannie and Freddie loosened underwriting standards leading up to the financial crisis, buying and guaranteeing riskier loans and ramping up purchases of mortgage-backed securities to please Wall Street analysts and to "ensure generous compensation for their executives and employees," the commission determined.

By 2007, the commission said, the companies had $5 trillion in mortgages resting on razor-thin capital.

The commission found that the companies used their political power for decades to Freddie Macward off effective regulation and oversight, spending $164 million on lobbying from 1999 through 2008. It concluded, however, that although Fannie and Freddie contributed to the financial crisis, they were not the primary cause.

With the housing market in turmoil in 2007 and 2008, Fannie and Freddie reported billions of dollars in losses. They were placed in conservatorship under the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) in September 2008.

Since then, the Treasury Department has provided $169 billion to cover their losses (with repayments the net cost to taxpayers is $141 billion). The total could rise to $363 billion, the FHFA said. Other estimates put the total closer to $390 billion.

Fannie and Freddie’s future is unclear. The Obama administration and Republicans in Congress agree that Fannie and Freddie should be abolished. Last February, President Obama proposed gradually phasing them out and gave Congress options for shrinking the government’s role in housing finance.

Home Ownership & Home Affordability

Real-Estate-PuzzleLast week I had the opportunity to hear one of the premier economists on the West Coast, Matthew Gardner. Each time I listen to him, I come away more educated, and because I provide real estate services in the greater Seattle area, encouraged.

In regards to homeownership in our area, the data below would suggest that we are in good shape in the Puget Sound.

home_ownership_rates

The homeownership rate is reversing toward it’s historic norms. Excluding owners who haven’t made a payment in a year, it is currently at  62%.

underpriced

If we believe that there was a “Normal” market back in the 1990’s, then it is conceivable that prices should be higher.

affordability

Here are Matthew’s conclusions.

• Prices Will Start to Solidify this Year

• Overly Stringent Financing constraining the Market

• 4-County Area Listings are Down 17% but Sales are Up 12%

• Faster Drop Off in Foreclosures in 2012

• Positive Price Growth in 2012 (1.6%).Conclusions

• Local Prices are down by 15.8% but Non-REO prices are down by 9%

• Limited Income Growth will Slow Home Value Appreciation

• Homeowners, as opposed to investors, would rather wait to pay a higher price than admit to their friends that they bought too soon!

• Recovery Will Be Unequal.

Will 2012 See a Housing Turnaround?

Despite mixed results in the housing sector, many homebuilder stocks are outperforming the overall market by a large margin.

A new report released Thursday showed that U.S. housing starts in December were worse than expected, posting a 4.1 percent decline after rising 9.1 percent in November.

On the other side of the spectrum, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) announced last week that its housing market index beat expectations and rose to its highest level in 4 and a half years.

Following last week’s positive news, the PHLX Housing Sector Index closed at an 11-month high of 117.56.

Could all this be perceived as the dawn of a recovery for the country’s battered housing market?

The verdict is still out. Confidence remains low from a historical perspective, although the numbers show the HGX is off to its best start ever this year — up more than 14 percent.

Nonetheless, the HGX has ended four of the past six years in negative territory, witnessing its worst loss in 2008 when the index closed down more than 40 percent.  Will this be the year of a turnaround in housing?

Will 2012 See a Housing Turnaround?” was provided by CNBC.com.

Best places to live car-free

For households that choose not to own a personal vehicle, urban centers that provide public transportation systems and amenities like retail stores, schools, and entertainment within close distance can be ideal places to live and work.

24/7 Wall St. compiled a list of the top 10 best places to reside, sans automobile:

  • Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH (#10)
  • Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA
  • Salt Lake City, UT
  • Denver-Aurora, CO
  • San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
  • Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
  • Honolulu, HI
  • New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA
  • Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA
  • San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA (#1)

These cities, out of the 100 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S, ranked highest for the following criteria — percentage of neighborhoods covered by public transit, frequency of service to those areas, the number of jobs reachable within 90 minutes or less by public transit, and the “walk score” (the number that indicates accessibility to amenities by foot).

Could Buyers Be Ready To Get Off the Sidelines?

rent rates

Falling home prices have sent many would-be buyers to the sidelines. In many cases, record low interest rates and rising rents may prompt some of them to take a second look at buying.

Much of the decision to buy a house still depends on your personal finances and preferences, your career or family life, or level of financial security. But if you’re comparing just the cost of owning and renting, buying a house may soon be the better choice.

Until recently, home ownership was no bargain compared to renting, according to his analysis.  A 33 percent drop fall in home prices, a plunge in mortgage rates and 15 percent rise in rents since the housing crash has evened the scales. Today, the median monthly mortgage payment of about $700 has fallen to about the level of a median monthly rent check. If mortgage rates keep falling and rents keep rising, the equation will tip even further toward owning.

But that analysis doesn’t include the total cost of owning versus renting. A full accounting includes closing costs, maintenance, insurance and property taxes, tax savings from mortgage deductions, gains or losses from home equity, among other factors. Renters have to think about broker fees and future rent hikes. Both have to make assumptions about future trends in housing prices and rents.

When you take those factors into account — someone who plans on staying put for seven years would come out ahead by about $9,000 if they bought a median-priced home rather than being a tenant in a median-priced rental, assuming that rents keep rising by about 3 percent a year and that house prices stay flat in 2012 and 2013 and begin rising in 2014 at about 3 percent a year.

If you would like to investigate this more, shoot me an email or call 206-713-3244

Decoding The ZIP: America’s Cheapest vs. Most Expensive Homes

As of January 2012, the U.S. was home to 41,861 ZIP codes. These ZIP codes boast a wild variance in median home values, with the top and bottom illustrating a disparity of epic proportions. The median home value in the most expensive ZIP code, in Alpine, NJ, is more than 712 times that of the median home value in Detroit, MI, the cheapest ZIP code in the U.S. We dug a little deeper into each area to compare the average household size, which homes are occupied by renters vs. owners, and the percentage of homes that are vacant vs. occupied.

Surprisingly, the percentage of vacant homes were highest in the most expensive ZIP codes –due primarily to the fact that many homes in these areas are strictly vacation or short-term rental homes.

Click on the arrow to enter our interactive app, then hover over each area’s ZIP code circles and click on each state for more details.

zip_codes

What’s Wrong With This Picture?!

balanceBuyer’s Market! That is what the majority of consumers believe we are in… a buyer’s market! Though that may be true in most areas, the statement must have context. Let’s take a look.

The amount of homes available on the market in King County is running at 4.2 months (based on closed sales). In other words, if no other home came on the market, and buyers purchased homes at the present rate, there would be no homes left after four months.

Traditionally, markets have been labeled as Seller’s (3 months of inventory or less), Buyer’s (6 months of inventory or more), and finally, balanced markets (4-6 months).

Below is the inventory in King County based on closed sales.

TGChartImage

What doesn’t get identified is the quality of the inventory. Parts of King County, particularly areas of the Eastside are very short on inventory. What is presently on the market is sometimes less than pristine. To exacerbate the low inventory problem, distressed properties are making up more and more of the inventory pie.

Below is the inventory in the 98008 zip code based on closed sales.

TGChartImage98008

The West Lake Sammamish area (98008) in Bellevue has 2.4 months of inventory. In most consumer’s minds, this would qualify as a “seller’s market”. Only 34 of the 71 homes available are not short sales or bank owned. That is 50% of the market!

Are we really in a “balanced market”? When buyers, who are eager to pull the trigger on a home, are stymied due to the lack of supply, can we still call that a balanced market?

What consumers need, are well priced, great conditioned homes that can be sold with traditional buyers and sellers (not requiring bank approval or other considerations).

If you know of someone considering making a move, I would love the opportunity to sit down and talk to them.

Home Price Changes Across The Country

decline

The graphic depicts pricing of all homes from their ‘peak through current declines’ as per Case Shiller. This index looks at prices in 20 major metropolitan areas. Keep in mind that for what is categorized as “Seattle” is comprised of Snohomish, King and Pierce Counties.

Each market peaked at different times. Therefore, the InfoGraphic doesn’t cover one segment of time. Here is a site where you can see when each market actually peaked:

http://www.housingviews.com/2011/11/29/how-the-cities-did-in-the-latest-release/how-cities-did-september-2011/

What Time Of Year Homes Sell

when homes sell